Same profit. Very different price.
By Jared Luegers, CFA · Founder & Operating Partner · 5 min read
Two businesses can report the exact same profit and sell for wildly different prices. The gap is not the number on the tax return. It is how provable, how durable, and how transferable those earnings are. Fix those three and you move a buyer from cautious to confident, which is what actually moves the price.
Say two owners each show $1 million in profit. One sells for four times earnings. The other struggles to get an offer at three, and then watches it get chipped down in diligence. Same profit, very different outcome. After a hundred-plus buyer-side reviews, the difference is almost never the headline number. It is what a buyer can prove, count on, and keep after you leave.
1. Provable beats big
A buyer does not value the profit on your tax return. They value the profit that is real and provable once your personal spending is stripped out. That means the earnings tie to the cash that actually landed in the bank, and every add-back has a document behind it. A clean, documented $1 million is worth more than a fuzzy $1.2 million a buyer has to take on faith, because the fuzzy version invites a re-trade the moment their accountant starts testing it.
2. Durable beats lucky
Next, a buyer asks whether the profit repeats. Recurring or repeat revenue is worth more than one-off project work. A book of customers where no single account is more than a modest slice is worth more than one where your largest customer is a quarter of the business. Concentration is the first thing a careful buyer flags, because if that customer leaves after close, they bought a different company than the one on the page.
3. Transferable beats owner-dependent
Finally, can the business run without you? If the relationships, the pricing decisions, and the daily judgment all live in your head, the buyer is not buying a business, they are buying a job that depends on the person leaving. Earnings that survive your exit are worth a premium. Earnings that walk out the door with you get discounted, or structured into an earnout that keeps you working for money you thought you already had.
What to do about it
The good news: all three are fixable, and they are far cheaper to fix a year or two before you sell than to surrender at the negotiating table. Prove the numbers so there are no surprises. Diversify the revenue and shore up the stickiest accounts. Build a layer of people and reporting so the business does not need you in every decision. Do that, and you are not hoping for the high multiple, you have earned the right to it.
The fastest way to see where you stand on all three is a short, honest read of the five things a buyer scores. That is exactly what our free Foundation Check does.